No projected global drylands expansion under greenhouse warming

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 11 March 2021; doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01007-8

Model projections of future drylands distribution using a proxy based on atmospheric aridity show expansion under climate change, but may not be an accurate representation. An alternative index based on ecohydrological variables such as water limitation shows no global expansion of drylands.