Refining El Niño projections


Nature Climate Change, Published online: 26 August 2021; doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01126-2

Climate models disagree on how the year-to-year variability of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation will change in a warmer world. Using a high-resolution climate model with an improved tropical Pacific mean state, research now suggests that El Niño activity tends to get weaker under GHG-induced warming.