Atmospheric dynamic constraints on Tibetan Plateau freshwater under Paris climate targets


Nature Climate Change, Published online: 11 January 2021; doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00974-8

Tibetan Plateau runoff projections are uncertain due to precipitation change uncertainty in climate models. Historical precipitation–circulation relationships constrain future wet-season precipitation and runoff change, suggesting worsening water scarcity for the Indus and Ganges river basins.