Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 18 January 2021; doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00965-9

Quantifying the temperature impacts of anthropogenic emissions helps monitor proximity to the Paris Agreement goals. Human activities warmed global mean temperature during the past decade by 0.9 to 1.3 °C above 1850–1900 values, with 1.2 to 1.9 °C from greenhouse gases and −0.7 to −0.1 °C from aerosols.