Nature Climate Change, Published online: 27 September 2021; doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01157-9
Tropical cyclone winds intensify with warming but the impacts depend on global population, which is likely to peak by mid-century and then decline. Impact modelling suggests that stronger mitigation, under which warming would peak after the population begins to decline, may spare 1.8 billion people from impacts by 2100.
