Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 30 March 2020; doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2

Climate change detection is confounded by internal variability, but recent initial-condition large ensembles (LEs) have begun addressing this issue. This Perspective discusses the value of multi-model LEs, the challenges of providing them and their role in future climate change research.